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The information provided on this website regarding (avian) influenza stocks is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation, solicitation, or offer to buy or sell any financial securities. The content on this platform is not intended to provide financial advice or investment guidance. All visitors are strongly advised to conduct their own research and seek professional financial advice before making any investment decisions.
Risk Profile and Financial Situation:
Individuals should be aware that their risk profile and financial situation are unique and may differ significantly from others. The suitability of any investment in stocks related to (avian) influenza is dependent on various personal factors, including financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment objectives. Therefore, it is essential for users to carefully evaluate their circumstances and consult with a qualified financial advisor to determine the appropriateness of investing in such securities.
Risks and Volatility of Biotech Stocks:
Investing in biotech stocks, including those related to (avian) influenza, comes with inherent risks and high volatility. Biotechnology companies often operate in a complex and rapidly evolving industry, which can lead to significant price fluctuations. The value of these stocks may be influenced by factors such as clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approvals, market conditions, and overall performance of the biotech sector.
Failure of Pharmaceutical Studies:
It is crucial to recognize that pharmaceutical studies can fail for various reasons. Despite promising research and development efforts, there is always the possibility of setbacks or unforeseen challenges during clinical trials. As a result, investments in companies conducting (avian) influenza research may be subject to the uncertainties associated with the success or failure of their studies.
(Avian) Influenza Pandemic Uncertainty:
While the topic of an avian influenza pandemic and its potential consequences may be discussed on this website, it is essential to remember that the occurrence of an avian influenza pandemic is uncertain and unpredictable. Market speculation or predictions regarding pandemics should not be taken as factual or definitive indicators of future events.
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The presentation of any stocks on this website does not imply any promotion or endorsement of these securities. The information provided is purely for educational and awareness purposes, and the inclusion of any stocks should not be misconstrued as a recommendation to invest. By using this website, you agree to this disclaimer.
Cidara Therapeutics
Cidara is conducting a phase 2b trial for CD388 with 5.000 participants during the 2024 northern hemisphere influenza season. CD388 has received FDA Fast-Track designation. CD388 is a drug-Fc conjugate, consisting of antibody fragments combined with antivirals. The cooperation with Johnson & Johnson has ended, and Cidara is conducting the phase 2b trial independently. For that Cidara managed to secure 240 million USD in private placement financing and has reacquired all global rights to CD388 development and commercialization from Johnson & Johnson. Additionally Cidara has announced a workforce reduction of 30% and divested the antifungal drug Rezafungin to fully focus on CD388 and some cancer therapies also based on drug-Fc conjugates. With the recent changes Cidara is set up to focus on advancing and benefiting from a single technology, named the Cloudbreak platform. The market capitalization was approximately 80 million USD in March 2024.
The recent Cidara Corporate Presentation slides can be found here:
https://www.cidara.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Cidara-Corporate-Presentation-August-2024-2.pdf
Concurrent with the acquisition, Cidara closed a definitive agreement for the sale of preferred stock in a private placement led by RA Capital Management, with significant participation from Bain Capital Life Sciences, Biotech Value Fund (BVF), and Canaan Partners. The private placement provides $240 million in gross proceeds that will be used by Cidara to develop CD388 as a universal preventative against seasonal and pandemic influenza A and B, beginning with a Phase 2b clinical trial in the upcoming Northern Hemisphere influenza season. The proceeds from the private placement fund the upfront payment under the agreement with Johnson & Johnson and are expected to provide runway beyond topline data from CD388’s Phase 2b trial. (...)
Dr. Stein continued, “This reacquisition of CD388, along with the capital to advance it through Phase 2b development, is transformational for Cidara and especially for those who could benefit from a long-acting, universal preventative against all forms of influenza. In our Phase 2b study later this year, we will evaluate the efficacy and safety of CD388 in providing season-long, universal protection from influenza. We believe that CD388 may have significant advantages beyond and in addition to flu vaccines, with the potential for universal protection even in the absence of a robust immune response and without the requirement for seasonal influenza strain prediction.”
All responsibility for future development, manufacturing, and commercialization activities of CD388 will be assumed by Cidara. In exchange for reacquiring the exclusive global development and commercial rights to CD388, Johnson & Johnson has received from Cidara a one-time upfront payment of $85 million and is eligible to receive potential additional development, regulatory, and commercial milestone payments.
CureVac
CureVac is one of the pioneers of mRNA technology with a strong patent portfolio. CureVac cooperates with GSK as larger commercialization partner. The first GSK/CureVac mRNA vaccine study for seasonal influenza started in May 2023 and CureVac is part of the influenza pandemic preparations of the German government. The seasonal influenza vaccine development has advanced to a phase 2 study. In April 2024 positive phase 2 study interim data was published. Also in April 2024 the start of a phase 1/2 study of an mRNA vaccine for H5N1 has been announced. CureVac investors are SAP founder Dietmar Hopp, followed by the German government and GSK. Despite the lack of commercial success, this company has strong support and potential. The market capitalization was approximately 700 million USD in March 2024, a more than 95% decline from Covid-19 valuations.
The motion to transfer the case is now part of a broadened counterclaim CureVac is filing that alleges infringement of nine U.S. patents by the manufacture and sale of the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine Comirnaty®. This significantly expands the scope of the case beyond the three patents originally named by Pfizer/BioNTech. These nine patents cover foundational and highly relevant separate innovations in mRNA vaccine design, formulation and manufacturing specific to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.
GSK
GSK is clearly motivated to combat influenza. However, the results are mixed. There were narcolepsy issues with the pandemic H1N1 vaccine. The cooperation with Biota regarding marketing of Relenza ended in litigation. The post phase 2 cooperation with Vir Biotechnology regarding VIR 2482 recently ended in phase 2, with GSK being not at fault. Nonetheless GSK has commercial success, with existing contracts about the potential delivery of more than 200 million H5N1 vaccine doses and 80 million mRNA vaccine doses from a cooperation with CureVac. GSK has established a long-term partnership, secured access to the mRNA technology and owns 7.4% of CureVac stock. The first GSK/CureVac mRNA vaccine study for seasonal influenza started in May 2023. In April 2024 positive phase 2 study interim data was published. Also in April 2024 the start of a phase 1/2 study of an mRNA vaccine for H5N1 has been announced. The market capitalization was approximately 90 billion USD in March 2024.
Shionogi
The neuraminidase inhibitor baloxavir marketed as Xofluza has officially been developed by Roche and Shionogi. Shionogi has exclusive rights for Japan and Taiwan, and is entitled to royalties worldwide. The market capitalization was approximately 14 billion USD in March 2024, much less than Roche with approximately 200 billion USD.
Daiichi Sankyo
Daiichi Sankyo, a large Japanese pharmaceutical company, has developed a new neuraminidase inhibitor called laninamivir, marketed as Inavir. Inavir has first been approved in Japan in 2013. The market capitalization was approximately 60 billion USD in March 2024.
Moderna
A phase 3 study of an mRNA seasonal influenza vaccine was successfully completed. The final results show a strong immune response against influenza A and influenza B. Phase 1 and 2 clinical trials for an H5N1 pandemic influenza mRNA vaccine are ongoing and Moderna has secured funding from BARDA for a phase 3 trial. The market capitalization was approximately 40 billion USD in March 2024.
Earlier this month, Pfizer and BioNtech sought to dismiss the lawsuit in Boston Court and filed a counterclaim against Moderna. Both companies claimed that the mRNA structure and the lipids used in their vaccines were different from those developed by Moderna, so they argued that Moderna's patents were invalid and asked the Court to revoke them.
CSL
Audenz is the most modern and approved H5N1 vaccine on the market, with an egg-free production process. Audenz is the second generation of CSL H5N1 vaccines. CSL has extensive pandemic inluenza vaccine contracts, including 150 million doses within six months for the US government. CSL also published pre-clinical data of an mRNA vaccine targeting H5N1. A cooperation with Arcturus is supposed to provide access to more mRNA technology. The market capitalization was approximately 90 billion USD in March 2024.
Arcturus Therapeutics
Arcturus as a pioneer of mRNA technology has a licensing agreement with CSL. Arcturus Therapeutics has received FDA clearance for phase 1 bird flu vaccine trial. The market capitalization was approximately 1 billion USD in March 2024, much less than CSL with 90 billion USD.
Pfizer
Pfizer and BioNtech are in litigation with CureVac, Moderna, and Arbutus. The market capitalization was approximately 160 billion USD in March 2024.
Earlier this month, Pfizer and BioNtech sought to dismiss the lawsuit in Boston Court and filed a counterclaim against Moderna. Both companies claimed that the mRNA structure and the lipids used in their vaccines were different from those developed by Moderna, so they argued that Moderna's patents were invalid and asked the Court to revoke them.
The motion to transfer the case is now part of a broadened counterclaim CureVac is filing that alleges infringement of nine U.S. patents by the manufacture and sale of the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine Comirnaty®. This significantly expands the scope of the case beyond the three patents originally named by Pfizer/BioNTech. These nine patents cover foundational and highly relevant separate innovations in mRNA vaccine design, formulation and manufacturing specific to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.
BioNTech
Pfizer and BioNTech are in litigation with CureVac, Moderna, and Arbutus. BioNTech would receive royalties from sales of Pfizer mRNA influenza vaccines. The market capitalization was approximately 20 billion USD in March 2024.
The motion to transfer the case is now part of a broadened counterclaim CureVac is filing that alleges infringement of nine U.S. patents by the manufacture and sale of the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine Comirnaty®. This significantly expands the scope of the case beyond the three patents originally named by Pfizer/BioNTech. These nine patents cover foundational and highly relevant separate innovations in mRNA vaccine design, formulation and manufacturing specific to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.
Earlier this month, Pfizer and BioNtech sought to dismiss the lawsuit in Boston Court and filed a counterclaim against Moderna. Both companies claimed that the mRNA structure and the lipids used in their vaccines were different from those developed by Moderna, so they argued that Moderna's patents were invalid and asked the Court to revoke them.
SAB Biotherapeutics
SAB has successfully completed a phase 2a study for SAB-176 antibodies. So far all results pertain to seasonal influenza, not avian influenza. SAB-176 has received FDA Breakthrough Therapy and Fast-Track designations. A new study is now examining the possibility of intramuscular application in cooperation with and funded by the US military. SAB is also working on antibodies to delay the onset or progression of type 1 diabetes. SAB also gained pandemic response experience with the development of a Covid-19 antibody. The market capitalization was approximately 40 million USD in March 2024.
With funding for research provided by the Henry Jackson Foundation, this partnership will move forward a pharmacokinetic (PK), safety and tolerability study designed as a double-blinded, randomized study with intramuscular SAB-176 administered to healthy volunteers. The NMRC Clinical Trials Center, located in Bethesda, Maryland, will be conducting this PK study under the leadership of Cmdr. Nehkonti Adams, Director, NMRC Clinical Trials Center.
SAB has utilized its proprietary DiversitAb™ platform to manufacture SAB-176, fully human polyclonal antibodies targeting influenza from Transchromosomic (Tc) Bovine™. SAB-176 is a novel multi-target biologic that has shown sustained neutralization activity across multiple virus strains of Influenza A and B. In 2023, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted Breakthrough Therapy and Fast Track Designations to SAB-176 based on the results of the completed clinical proof-of-concept Phase 2 study in an influenza challenge model with intravenous (IV) formulation. SAB-176, along with several other fully human anti-infective immunoglobulins developed by SAB have been administered through IV to over 700 healthy volunteers and patients. This will be the first study to examine intramuscular administration of any DiversitAb™ platform product. The DiversitAb™ platform produces fully human target-specific biologics that can be delivered across a range of therapeutic areas, including infectious diseases and autoimmune conditions like type 1 diabetes (T1D).
SAB Chairman and CEO Samuel J. Reich stated that “we are pleased to continue our collaboration with the NMRC to explore new routes of administration for our products. (...)
Roche
Despite the fact that the oseltamivir patents have expired, there is still money to be made. Roche has established long-term business relationships and with Tamiflu a valueable brand. Google Trends shows that Tamiflu dwarfs all other influenza drugs. Roche will also use existing business relationships to sell baloxavir (Xofluxa), which is still protected by patents. In case of a pandemic Roche would probably benefit more from brand recognition than from improvements offered by baloxavir. The market capitalization was approximately 200 billion USD in March 2024.
BioCryst Phamaceuticals
Peramivir (Rapivap), produced by BioCryst Pharmaceuticals and patent protected, may become a more relevant alternative in a severe pandemic or in case of widespread resistance mutations. A single infusion may provide the safest treatment option in times of minimal standards of care. Resistance mutations against neuraminidase inhibitors are currently rare, but would make peramivir a much more attractive option. This study shows that the NA-S247N mutation causes resistance to oseltamivir and zanamivir, but causes no resistance to peramivir. This study reports a highly reduced susceptibility to peramivir in case of the NA-H275Y mutation, although 3 to 4 times less reduced than to oseltamivir. Zanamivir (Relenza) and laninamivir (Inavir) are much less affected by the NA-H275Y mutation.
Oral inhalation of zanamivir and laninamivir or a five day treatment regime with oseltamivir pills may become difficult for patients in critical conditions. A single infusion of peramivir (Rapivap) or a single pill of baloxavir (Xofluxa) may be more practical. In case of a high case fatality rate efficiency and health care worker safety may become a priority. A combination of both drugs does not improve the outcome.
The market capitalization was approximately 1 billion USD in March 2024.
The combination of baloxavir plus NAI was well tolerated. The findings suggest that combination antivirals would not be routinely indicated in clinical practice for hospitalised patients with severe influenza.
Takeda
The market capitalization was approximately 45 billion USD in March 2024.
Baxter
Baxter has developed a vaccine that doesn't rely on eggs, just like CSL with Audenz. While there no recent news, Baxter managed to sell a large amount of H1N1 vaccines during the 2009 pandemic. The market capitalization was approximately 20 billion USD in March 2024.
Despite the scandal, Baxter was one of two companies awarded the contract to produce 132 million doses of vaccine for Britain. The other company, GlaxoSmithKline, received a "positive opinion" for its drug, Pandemrix, last month. Britain is reported to have ordered enough swine flu vaccine to give each person two doses. The growing cost of the vaccines has prompted concerns from politicians, but the Department of Health and the drug companies have declined to say exactly how much each vaccine costs.
Sanofi
Sanofi created the first FDA-approved H5N1 vaccine. While Sanofi was the first company to test mRNA influenza vaccines, there are no positive results reported so far. The market capitalization was approximately 120 billion USD in March 2024 with a 4% dividend.
Viatris
Mylan produced a seasonal influenza vaccine and is now part of Viatris. Viatris produces Influvac Tetra. The market capitalization was approximately 14 billion USD in March 2024.
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
Adamas Pharmaceuticals produced Amantadine and Rimantadine and is now part of Supernus Pharmaceuticals. Currently all or most influenza strains have developed a resistance against those drugs. The market capitalization was approximately 1.8 billion USD in March 2024.
AstraZeneca
AstraZeneca has developed an intranasally administered vaccine for seasonal influenza, but can also use the technology to produce a H5N1 vaccine if needed. The market capitalization was approximately 200 billion USD in March 2024.
This positive recommendation allows a vaccine containing a strain of pandemic potential to be developed and authorised in advance of a pandemic being declared. Once the World Health Organisation has declared an actual pandemic, a variation dossier specific for the pandemic strain can be submitted to the EMA for an accelerated assessment and approval. This provides an additional public health tool to protect European children when the next pandemic emerges.
P/LAIV is an intranasally administered vaccine that contains a live attenuated H5N1 strain of influenza virus. The vaccine is based on the same biologically-active components currently used to make AstraZeneca/MedImmune’s approved seasonal influenza vaccine, Fluenz™ Tetra. P/LAIV differs from Fluenz Tetra, because it protects against a single influenza A pandemic strain as opposed to four seasonal strains in Fluenz Tetra.
The positive CHMP opinion was based on a review of safety and immunogenicity studies of the H5N1 vaccine conducted in collaboration with the US National Institutes of Health as well as by the comprehensive clinical data that demonstrate the safety and efficacy for Fluenz Tetra in children.
Novartis
Novartis has tried, but failed to produce an effective H5N1 vaccine. The market capitalization was approximately 200 billion USD in March 2024.
Johnson & Johnson
After failed attemps to develop the monoclonal antibodies CR6261 and CR8020, the monoclonal antibody CR9114 and the more innovative multidomain antibody MD3606 remain in the pre-clinical stage. Johnson & Johnson was conducting the CD388 phase 2a study with Cidara Therapeutics. The cooperation has ended and potential milestone payments would be dwarfed by the market capitalization. The market capitalization was approximately 400 billion USD in March 2024.
Concurrent with the acquisition, Cidara closed a definitive agreement for the sale of preferred stock in a private placement led by RA Capital Management, with significant participation from Bain Capital Life Sciences, Biotech Value Fund (BVF), and Canaan Partners. The private placement provides $240 million in gross proceeds that will be used by Cidara to develop CD388 as a universal preventative against seasonal and pandemic influenza A and B, beginning with a Phase 2b clinical trial in the upcoming Northern Hemisphere influenza season. The proceeds from the private placement fund the upfront payment under the agreement with Johnson & Johnson and are expected to provide runway beyond topline data from CD388’s Phase 2b trial. (...)
Dr. Stein continued, “This reacquisition of CD388, along with the capital to advance it through Phase 2b development, is transformational for Cidara and especially for those who could benefit from a long-acting, universal preventative against all forms of influenza. In our Phase 2b study later this year, we will evaluate the efficacy and safety of CD388 in providing season-long, universal protection from influenza. We believe that CD388 may have significant advantages beyond and in addition to flu vaccines, with the potential for universal protection even in the absence of a robust immune response and without the requirement for seasonal influenza strain prediction.”
All responsibility for future development, manufacturing, and commercialization activities of CD388 will be assumed by Cidara. In exchange for reacquiring the exclusive global development and commercial rights to CD388, Johnson & Johnson has received from Cidara a one-time upfront payment of $85 million and is eligible to receive potential additional development, regulatory, and commercial milestone payments.
Vir Biotechnology
Vir Biotechnology has discontinued the development of monoclonal antibodies against influenza.
In 2023 a phase 2 study of antibody VIR-2482 has failed, resulting in a significant loss of market capitalization. Based on this experience, Vir Biotechnology was developing VIR-2981 antibodies against influenza A and B. Vir Biotechnology has sufficient cash reserves due to a successful Covid-19 antibody. The market capitalization was approximately 1.4 billion USD in March 2024.
Xencor
Xencor technology has been used for the failed VIR-2482 antibody. The market capitalization was approximately 1.3 billion USD in March 2024.